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Customer service doesn’t need faster agents. It needs better matches.

Predictive Routing turns the overlooked decision of where customer problems go into a new source of efficiency, capacity, and faster resolution.


Barry Neary photo

Barry Neary

Senior Director of Product at Zendesk

Zuletzt aktualisiert: 8. September 2026

Three people gathered around a work desk and laptop

AI is changing how customer problems get solved. AI Agents can resolve more interactions autonomously. Agent Copilot can make agents more effective. But there is another opportunity sitting upstream of the work itself: using AI to decide where that work should go in the first place.

Routing is often an invisible part of customer service, but it shapes the work that follows. Before  an agent answers a customer, a consequential decision has already been made: Who should get this problem?

Get the match wrong and everyone downstream has to work harder. Get it right and the same workforce can resolve the same problems with less effort.

Predictive Routing changes how that decision gets made: from rules based on assumptions about who should handle what, to a model that learns from what actually happens and adapts as your team changes

AI Agent Copilot can make individual agents more capable. Layer in AI Predictive Routing, and we can make the entire operation more intelligent.

Routing rules freeze an organization in time

Service teams have traditionally used rules to decide where customer problems go: which agents handle billing, which handle technical issues, which queues take priority.

Those rules are necessary. The problem is that they freeze an organization in time.

Agents learn. Products change. New kinds of issues emerge. Expertise shifts. But manually configured skills, groups, tags, and routing rules only change when someone updates them.

“The fundamental weakness of this approach is not that the rules are wrong,” writes Zendesk Senior Director of Product Management Barry Neary in Zendesk’s white paper on Predictive Routing. “It is that they are static in a dynamic environment.” Rules describe who should be good at something. Learning systems can observe who actually is.

“Who should get this ticket?” is harder than it sounds

Predictive Routing uses machine learning to answer a specific question for every eligible agent: How long would it take this agent to handle this ticket?

The model is trained on cross-industry data from millions of real agent-customer interactions. As account-specific data accumulates, the predictions become increasingly tailored to that operation.

For every ticket, the model considers:

  • What the customer needs. Zendesk Intents identifies the topics in a conversation and how strongly each one is present. A ticket can be 70 percent billing and 30 percent technical support, rather than being forced into a single category. Routing decisions are grounded in a structured, human-readable intent taxonomy that operations teams can understand and audit.

  • How each agent performs on similar problems. The model learns from outcomes, not rules. Rather than relying on an admin to identify every area of agent expertise, it observes which agents consistently resolve which types of tickets faster than average and adjusts its predictions accordingly. It measures agent engagement time—the periods when an agent is actively engaging with the customer—so time spent waiting for a customer reply doesn’t distort that performance signal.

  • How that performance is changing. Short- and long-term performance data captures agents developing expertise or improving at particular types of problems. Recent performance is weighted more heavily, helping the model keep pace as the team changes.

  • What each agent is already working on. Predictive Routing considers an agent’s full workpile, not simply who would handle the incoming ticket fastest. An agent who excels at one problem may not receive it if their existing workload means another agent can clear the work sooner.

Capacity, skills, availability, and group membership still determine which agents are eligible. Predictive Routing works within those guardrails rather than overriding them.

And the model keeps learning. Every resolved ticket feeds back into future predictions automatically, with no manual retraining trigger or additional admin configuration required.

The right agent isn’t something you configure once. It’s a decision you make again for every customer problem.

Infographic outlining the routing decision flow for an incoming ticket

Match point: where routing creates value

Zendesk tested Predictive Routing through randomized A/B tests across six enterprise deployments. Four saw statistically significant reductions in agent engagement time of between 9 and 21 percent.

At one company, 55 agents handling roughly 2,000 tickets a week recovered an estimated 98 hours of agent time every week. That's two full-time agents worth of capacity recovered — without hiring, without process changes, without asking anyone to work harder.

Those gains didn’t come from adding headcount, changing processes, or shifting more work onto the fastest agents. Workload distribution remained statistically unchanged.

“The efficiency gains came from better matching, not from concentration of work,” Neary writes. The agents didn’t become faster. Predictive Routing got better at putting problems where they could be solved faster.

“The efficiency gains came from better matching, not from concentration of work,” Neary writes.

Make the whole operation more intelligent

Predictive Routing happens before the customer sees the work, but its impact can shape everything that follows. It creates the most value in operations with genuine agent diversity, sufficient ticket flow to generate enough volume for the model to learn your team's patterns, and routing complexity that creates real decisions about where work should go.

By getting each problem to the agent best placed to solve it, Predictive Routing can reduce the effort required to resolve it, create capacity across the team, and ultimately get customers to an answer faster.

At Zendesk, we’re applying intelligence across the service journey to create value for both the customer and the business. AI Agents can resolve more interactions autonomously. Copilot can make agents more effective on the problems that reach them. Predictive Routing can improve where that work goes in the first place.

Each capability tackles a different part of the customer service problem. Together, they point to a bigger opportunity: making the entire service operation more intelligent.

The future of customer service will depend on getting better at deciding how—and by whom—each customer problem should be solved.

For service leaders, the opportunity is to look beyond what happens during the customer interaction. Some of the most consequential decisions happen before the work begins—and better decisions can mean less effort, more capacity, and faster resolution.

Barry Neary photo

Barry Neary

Senior Director of Product at Zendesk

Barry Neary is Senior Director of Product at Zendesk, where he leads product strategy across Routing and Workforce Management—helping enterprises design and scale how they route, schedule, and orchestrate customer service operations. His team builds the omnichannel routing engine and workforce management capabilities that power Zendesk's customer experience platform, including the company's global WFM market adoption strategy.

Barry is known for bringing complex technology to market, from 0→1 launches through to enterprise scale, tackling hard product problems with focus and clarity. Passionate about technology, especially AI, he explores how predictive AI, intelligent routing, and automated workforce optimisation can amplify human work, make service operations smarter and more efficient, and help shape the future of contact center work.